加州停止缴联邦税，准备脱离美国宣布独立？先别急着激动

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses California's potential move towards independence from the United States, emphasizing the significance of tax obligations as a symbol of sovereignty and the implications of a "tax war" initiated by California Governor Gavin Newsom against the federal government [1][3]. Group 1: Tax War Dynamics - California's proposal to stop paying federal taxes is seen as a necessary self-defense measure, with the state having a tax subsidy gap exceeding $80 billion [8]. - The federal government, under Trump, has threatened to cut financial support to California, which has already seen a reduction of $126 million in flood relief funding [6][8]. - The bipartisan support within California's legislature for Newsom's tax cessation indicates a unified stance against federal policies [8]. Group 2: Political and Economic Implications - Stopping tax payments could lead to severe repercussions, including intervention from the IRS, which has the authority to enforce tax laws [12]. - The economic fallout from a tax war could outweigh the potential $80 billion gain, as California relies on federal support for security and economic stability [14]. - The risk of California shifting politically from a Democratic stronghold to a Republican one adds pressure on Newsom, especially with the upcoming 2026 midterm elections [14]. Group 3: Internal Conflict and National Impact - The ongoing tensions have led to increased arrests and protests in California, suggesting a rising internal conflict that could escalate into a broader "civil war" scenario [16][20]. - The division between the two major political parties in the U.S. is deepening, with the potential for other Democratic-controlled states to experience similar unrest [20]. - The economic competitiveness of the U.S. could be severely impacted by the instability in California, particularly given its role as a hub for technology and culture [20]. Group 4: Conclusion and Future Outlook - Newsom is unlikely to pursue a full tax cessation as a means to achieve independence, recognizing California's dependence on the federal government [22]. - Continued pressure from the Trump administration could exacerbate the political and economic crises facing the U.S., potentially leading to a scenario reminiscent of the Soviet Union's collapse [22].