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【美国劳动力市场出现放缓迹象】6月12日讯,美国初请失业金人数四周平均值上升,强化了美国就业市场可能正在放缓的看法。潘森宏观经济学家奥利弗·艾伦写道,申请失业金人数通常在每年的这个时候攀升,但随后下降。即便如此,最近申请失业救济人数的攀升至少在一定程度上是真实的。自去年秋季以来,未经调整的52周平均申请失业救济人数一直呈上升趋势。整个美国市场的裁员率仍然很低,但最近似乎有所回升。预计由于关税,招聘活动将会减弱。
奥利奥利(US:ALEH) news flash·2025-06-12 14:01

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the U.S. labor market is showing signs of slowing down, as indicated by the rising four-week average of initial jobless claims [1] - The increase in jobless claims is considered to be somewhat genuine, as the unadjusted 52-week average has been on an upward trend since last fall [1] - Although the overall layoff rate in the U.S. remains low, there are indications that it has recently started to rise [1] Group 2 - It is anticipated that hiring activity will weaken due to tariffs [1]