Tong Petrotech(SZ:300164) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-13 04:00Group 1: Oil Market Impact - WTI crude oil futures surged by 13% following Israel's airstrikes on Iran, which targeted nuclear facilities and military sites [1][3] - Iran accounts for 2% of global oil exports, and any disruption in supply could lead to significant price increases [3] - Historical trends suggest that geopolitical conflicts typically have a short-term impact on oil prices, with potential resistance at Brent prices above $70 due to ongoing OPEC+ production plans and U.S. shale oil production [3][5] Group 2: Gold Market Reaction - Gold prices rose to $3,435 per ounce as investors sought safe-haven assets amid heightened geopolitical risks [1][4] - The increase in gold ETF holdings indicates a shift in market risk appetite, although high interest rates from the Federal Reserve pose a long-term challenge for gold prices [4] - A potential easing of geopolitical tensions could lead to a correction in gold prices, suggesting caution for investors considering entering at current levels [4][5] Group 3: U.S. Policy Considerations - The U.S. stance on the situation is complex, with mixed signals regarding involvement in the conflict, which could further impact oil exports from Iran [5] - Any U.S. actions to restrict Iranian oil exports could lead to a second wave of price increases, although the likelihood of such actions remains low [5]