Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-13 11:47Core Viewpoint - The banking industry is experiencing a significant reduction in long-term large-denomination certificate of deposit (CD) interest rates, leading to a phenomenon known as "deposit migration" as consumers seek better returns from other financial products [1][8]. Summary by Sections Interest Rate Changes - Major banks, including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and Agricultural Bank of China, have removed five-year large-denomination CDs from their offerings, with some banks now only providing up to three-year products at rates as low as 1.2% to 1.4% [1][2][6]. - The three-year large-denomination CD currently has a rate of 1.55%, while two-year and one-year products are offered at 1.2% [5][6]. Reasons for Rate Reductions - The primary reason for the reduction in long-term large-denomination CD rates is the pressure on net interest margins, prompting banks to reform their liability structures [1][10]. - As loan rates continue to decline, banks are compelled to lower high-cost long-term liabilities to alleviate pressure, thereby reducing their interest rate risk exposure [1][10]. Impact on Consumer Behavior - The decline in large-denomination CD offerings has led to a "deposit migration," where consumers are increasingly turning to alternative investment options such as money market funds, government bonds, and insurance products [8][9]. - The current three-year government bond rate is 1.63%, and five-year bonds yield 1.7%, making them attractive alternatives to traditional deposits [8]. Market Trends - The banking wealth management market has seen significant growth, with the scale of bank wealth management products reaching 29.14 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.41% [8]. - Insurance products are gaining popularity as alternatives to long-term deposits, with many clients showing increased interest in savings-type insurance products that offer higher returns [9]. Future Outlook - The trend of reducing long-term deposit offerings is expected to continue as banks aim to manage their interest margins effectively [10][11]. - Ordinary fixed-term deposit rates may further decline, with current rates for two-year ordinary deposits ranging from 1.2% to 1.4% [11].