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创新药概念爆炒下的隐忧:冠昊生物研发费用三年缩水28%,在研项目卡关|创新药观察

Core Viewpoint - The rise of innovative drugs in China is reshaping the global pharmaceutical industry, with significant market opportunities and challenges highlighted in the report [2]. Market Performance - Innovative drug concept stocks have shown strong performance in both A-shares and Hong Kong markets, with the Guotai Innovative Drug ETF (517110) up over 25% and the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (513120) up over 60% year-to-date [2]. - Guanhao Biological, as an innovative drug concept company, saw its stock price rise by 28.56% from May 13 to June 12, 2024, reaching a peak of 18.38 yuan, with a notable single-day increase of 19.97% on June 3 [2][3]. R&D Expenditure Trends - Guanhao Biological has significantly reduced its R&D expenses, with a year-on-year decrease of 18.74% in 2024, ranking 60th among innovative drug companies [6]. - The company's R&D expenses as a percentage of revenue stand at 9.58%, ranking 50th among peers [8]. - R&D expenditures have decreased for three consecutive years, totaling 50.52 million yuan in 2022, 44.50 million yuan in 2023, and 36.16 million yuan in 2024, representing a cumulative decline of 28.4% [8][9]. R&D Personnel and Project Progress - The number of R&D personnel has decreased from 70 in 2022 to 66 in 2024, with total R&D personnel compensation dropping by 33.1% from 20.48 million yuan in 2022 to 13.71 million yuan in 2024 [9]. - The progress of ongoing projects is slow, with key projects like the artificial liver still in preclinical research and the new indication for Benvimod facing a 25.1% revenue decline in 2024 [9][10]. Competitive Landscape - Competitors have successfully launched products, such as Zhenghai Biological's "Haiyu" active biological bone filling material, which has entered the sales system in many hospitals [10]. - Guanhao Biological's recent strategic adjustments have not yet yielded significant performance support, while traditional biological materials face intensified market competition [10]. Financial Performance - Guanhao Biological's revenue fluctuated from 377 million yuan in 2022 to 404 million yuan in 2023, then back to 377 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a 6.6% year-on-year decrease due to price drops from centralized procurement policies [12]. - The company's net profit has also seen significant fluctuations, with a loss of 300 million yuan in 2022, a profit of 31 million yuan in 2023, and a further decline to 27.42 million yuan in 2024, down 11.57% year-on-year [13].