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中东局势急剧升温,黄金值得关注多头
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-13 14:32

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent developments in the gold market, particularly in light of escalating tensions in the Middle East, specifically between Israel and Iran, which are influencing gold prices and investor sentiment [2]. Group 1: Fundamental Analysis - The situation in the Middle East is tense, with Israel launching airstrikes against Iran, targeting facilities related to its nuclear program. This operation is named "Operation Lion's Strength" and is expected to last for a week [2]. - The scale of Iran's retaliation is a critical variable. If Iran's response is restrained and energy supplies remain unaffected, risk premiums may quickly dissipate. Conversely, any signs of retaliation or disruption in energy supplies could maintain high market volatility, leading to an increase in oil prices and safe-haven assets [2]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The daily chart indicates that the stochastic oscillator shows both %K (blue) and %D (red) lines have entered the overbought territory above 80, suggesting strong bullish momentum in the short term. However, this overbought signal does not directly indicate a sell-off, but investors should be cautious of potential short-term pullbacks or consolidations if prices fail to break previous highs [5]. - Current gold prices (approximately $3429) are challenging key resistance levels from mid-April and late May, which are around $3450-$3480. A successful breakout above this range could open further upside potential [6]. - The 2-hour chart shows a clear and steep bullish alignment of the EMA system, indicating strong buying power in the short term. The recent candlestick patterns, particularly the last one, exhibit strong buying interest with little to no upper shadow, reflecting robust upward momentum [9]. - According to the Trading Central pivot line indicator, the central price level for the day is $3440. A bullish outlook is indicated above $3392, with targets at $3440 and $3462, while a bearish outlook is suggested below $3392, with targets at $3377 and $3360 [11].