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Abercrombie's Post-Earnings Pullback: Setback or Opportunity?
ANFA&F(ANF) ZACKS·2025-06-13 18:00

Core Insights - Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) experienced an 11% drop in shares after releasing its first-quarter fiscal 2025 results, underperforming compared to the Zacks Retail - Discount Stores industry and the broader S&P 500 [1][3] Financial Performance - The company reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.59, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.35, and achieved record sales of $1.1 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase [3][5] - Despite strong revenue growth, EPS declined by 25.7% compared to $2.14 in the same quarter last year, and gross margin contracted by 440 basis points to 62% due to inflationary pressures and higher selling expenses [5][10] Brand Performance - The Hollister brand showed robust growth with a 22% increase in sales and 23% comparable sales gains, while the Abercrombie brand faced a 4% decline in sales and a 10% drop in comparable sales [6][9] - The Abercrombie brand's underperformance is concerning as it constitutes nearly 50% of the company's total sales, posing a strategic risk [9][12] Guidance and Market Sentiment - Management raised sales growth expectations for fiscal 2025 to 3-6% but lowered EPS guidance to $9.50-$10.50 from $10.40-$11.40, indicating potential profitability challenges in the second half of the fiscal year [10][19] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS has seen downward revisions, with a 6.2% decline to $10.28 for fiscal 2025 over the past 30 days [17][19] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on long-term growth through brand evolution, international expansion, and enhancing omni-channel capabilities, including plans to open 60 new stores and remodel 40 in fiscal 2025 [11][12] - Abercrombie's brand portfolio revitalization, particularly the success of Hollister, is a key strength, with eight consecutive quarters of growth [12][18] Valuation - ANF is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 7.57X, significantly below the industry average of 17.85X and the S&P 500's average of 22.02X, indicating a potential buying opportunity despite investor concerns [13][16]