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俄罗斯经济支柱被砍半,普京打仗的小金库,眼下要被彻底掏空
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-15 09:22

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in Russia's oil and gas revenues due to Western sanctions following the Ukraine conflict, which threatens the country's economic stability and military funding [1][3][4]. Group 1: Economic Impact - Russia's oil and gas sector has historically been the backbone of its economy, contributing nearly 40% to the national budget and serving as a primary source of foreign exchange [1]. - In the first quarter of this year, net profits for Russian oil and gas producers dropped by nearly half, from 1.445 trillion rubles to 789.5 billion rubles [3]. - The price of Urals crude oil fell from $66 per barrel in January to $52 per barrel by the end of May, leading to the lowest foreign exchange income from oil exports in two and a half years [3]. Group 2: Military Funding Challenges - The reduction in energy profits could lead to insufficient military supplies and a halt in offensive operations, potentially forcing Russia into unfavorable negotiation positions [4]. - The Russian government has allocated 13.2 trillion rubles for military maintenance and weapon production in the current budget to address these challenges [6]. Group 3: Strategic Adjustments - Russia is seeking to diversify its energy export markets, shifting focus from Europe to Asia, with India increasing its oil imports from Russia from 1% to 25% [8]. - The country is also pushing for technological self-sufficiency, with the domestic liquefied natural gas equipment localization rate rising from 15% in 2014 to 43% [8]. - Plans are in place to increase nuclear power's share in the energy mix from 19% to 25% by 2042 and to develop lithium and copper mining projects to support domestic battery production [10]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - The decline in oil and gas revenues is attributed to changes in the global energy landscape and geopolitical shifts, prompting Russia to adopt proactive strategies to mitigate risks and seek new growth opportunities [10].