优质资产抗周期属性凸显 消费类REITs成资金“避风港”

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese public REITs market has seen significant activity since 2025, with a majority of the 66 public REITs experiencing price increases, particularly in the consumer sector, driven by stable cash flows and improving economic conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 13, 2025, only 2 out of 66 public REITs have declined in the secondary market, with the highest performer, Huaan Bailian Consumer REIT, increasing by 57.75% [1]. - Four consumer REITs have seen price increases exceeding 40%, while 11 have risen between 30% and 40% [1]. - The average dividend yield for consumer REITs is reported to be between 4.5% and 6% [2]. Group 2: Factors Driving Growth - Consumer REITs typically set high initial distribution rates (4%-5%), reflecting the stable cash flow characteristics of their underlying assets, which enhances investor interest [2]. - The decline in interest rates, with the 10-year government bond yield falling below 1.6%, has increased demand for REITs as a yield-generating asset, particularly in a low-interest environment [2][3]. - Consumer REITs are characterized by their resilience to economic cycles, with a reported average occupancy rate of 96.2% and a rent collection rate exceeding 99% [3]. Group 3: Policy Support and Market Sentiment - Recent government policies, such as the "Special Action Plan to Boost Consumption," have provided strong support for consumer infrastructure projects, enhancing confidence in the cash flows and investment value of consumer REITs [4]. - The market sentiment has shifted positively towards consumer REITs, driven by structural opportunities in the consumer sector, particularly during peak consumption periods [4]. - However, many public REITs are trading at high premiums, with Huaan Bailian Consumer REIT's market premium exceeding 50%, indicating potential trading risks [4].