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养殖业集体扑倒!猪、蛋、羊、鸡全在跌,怎么了这是?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-16 09:19

Core Viewpoint - The livestock industry is facing significant challenges, with prices for various meats, including pork, chicken, and lamb, declining due to oversupply and weak consumer demand [2][4][10]. Group 1: Price Trends - Pork prices have dropped below 7 yuan per kilogram, marking a new low for the year, and while the decline has eased somewhat after government intervention, the outlook remains bleak [2]. - Egg prices have fallen below 3 yuan, leading to losses for some producers, while wholesale chicken prices have decreased by 2.3% year-on-year [4]. - Lamb prices have also declined, with a 0.5% year-on-year drop, although beef prices have seen a slight increase of 3.5% [4]. Group 2: Supply Dynamics - The livestock sector is experiencing oversupply, particularly in the pig and poultry markets, with pig production remaining above 40 million heads for 11 consecutive months [4][7]. - The increase in production capacity is attributed to previous high prices that incentivized farmers to expand their operations, leading to significant supply pressure [4][7]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - Improvements in breeding and farming techniques have led to increased meat production, with optimized breeding capabilities resulting in stable pork supply despite a reduction in production capacity [7]. - Similar advancements in sheep farming have also contributed to a surplus in lamb supply [7]. Group 4: Import Factors - While imports of pork and poultry have a limited impact, beef imports have significantly increased due to lower prices abroad compared to domestic production costs [8]. - The rising availability of cheaper imported beef, coupled with declining prices of pork and poultry, has constrained domestic beef demand [8]. Group 5: Consumer Demand - Consumer demand for meat is recovering slowly, with overall growth in personal consumption being limited due to economic constraints [10]. - The lack of timely demand growth exacerbates supply pressures, making it difficult for the livestock industry to reduce excess supply [11].