暴跌70%，是谁将榴莲价格打了下来？

Core Insights - The price of durians has significantly dropped this summer, with wholesale prices falling from 69.26 yuan/kg in April to 51.38 yuan/kg by May 23, marking a 25.8% decrease [5][17]. - This price collapse reveals deep-seated contradictions within the durian industry, affecting both consumers and producers [7][19]. Historical Context - Durians were introduced to China in the 1980s through small-scale trade, initially being a luxury item for expatriates [8][10]. - The entry of Thai durians into the Chinese market accelerated after China's WTO accession in 2001, leading to increased imports and a rise in consumer accessibility [12][14]. Supply Chain Dynamics - The breakthrough in cold chain technology has significantly reduced spoilage rates, allowing for more efficient distribution of durians from Thailand to Chinese markets [14][16]. - Companies like Hongjiu Fruits have established a supply chain system that connects Southeast Asian farms directly to Chinese consumers, enhancing market influence [16]. Market Challenges - The oversupply of durians, driven by increased production in Thailand and neighboring countries, has led to a significant drop in prices and quality issues [17][19]. - Consumers are becoming more cautious, preferring smaller, ripe durians over larger, unripe ones, indicating a shift in purchasing behavior [21][23]. Industry Evolution - Traditional trade models are being disrupted by new retail platforms that connect consumers directly with producers, reducing the role of middlemen [26][28]. - The rise of domestic durian production in Hainan is generating mixed reactions, with consumers hoping for quality improvements while questioning pricing strategies [33][36]. Future Outlook - The durian industry is expected to undergo a transformation, focusing on quality control and sustainable practices to avoid past mistakes of overproduction [36][43]. - Investment opportunities may arise in areas such as domestic durian cultivation technology and quality detection methods, emphasizing the need for a shift from scale to value [42][45].