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以伊战火波及航运 波斯湾油轮运力“大撤退”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-06-16 11:05

Core Insights - The ongoing risk assessment of the conflict between Israel and Iran has led some tanker owners and management companies to suspend vessel capacity for Middle Eastern routes, raising concerns about energy export flows in the region [1] - Oil producers and traders attempting to charter tankers for transporting crude and refined oil from the Persian Gulf are facing a shortage of capacity, with some temporary charter agreements not being finalized due to owners refusing to renew contracts [1] - The global oil market will closely monitor the shipping security situation in the Middle East and surrounding waters in the coming weeks, as the region accounts for about one-third of global crude production [1] Shipping Rates and Market Reactions - The benchmark shipping rate for very large crude carriers (VLCC) from the Middle East to China, TD3C, surged to 55-58 WS, a 20%-30% increase from the beginning of the week [2] - Although there were no public quotes on Monday, industry insiders reported that the TD3C rate further increased to around 65 WS [2] - The trading volume of forward freight agreements (FFA), used as a risk hedging tool in the industry, has significantly increased, indicating heightened market risk aversion, with TD3C FFA prices rising to $14 per ton from approximately $11 before the Israeli attacks on Iran [2]