国际油价暴涨！国内成品油价再迎上调

Core Viewpoint - Since June, international oil prices have been on the rise, with WTI crude oil futures settling at $71.77 per barrel and Brent crude at $73.23 per barrel, significantly up from around $60 per barrel at the beginning of the month [1] Group 1: Domestic Fuel Price Adjustments - The domestic fuel price adjustment window opened on June 17, with expectations of consecutive price increases due to rising international oil prices [2] - Analysts predict that gasoline and diesel retail prices will increase by 260 yuan and 255 yuan per ton, respectively, translating to price increases of 0.20 yuan for 92 gasoline and 0.22 yuan for 0 diesel [2][3] - The increase in fuel prices will raise costs for consumers, with an estimated additional cost of 10 yuan for filling a 50L tank of 92 gasoline and an increase of approximately 15 yuan for a small car running 2000 km per month [4] Group 2: Future Price Trends - The next price adjustment window is expected to open on July 1, 2025, with predictions of significant price increases based on current international oil prices [5] - Analysts suggest that geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and improving demand may continue to support high international oil prices, leading to a high likelihood of domestic fuel price increases in the next cycle [5] - The overall outlook indicates that the domestic fuel market will experience upward pressure on prices due to reduced supply from lower refinery operating rates and stable gasoline demand [5]