豆一、花生等农产品：各品种行情分析与点位建议

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural futures market is experiencing a divergence in performance across different commodities, with varying supply and demand dynamics influencing prices [1] Group 1: Soybeans - Northeast soybean prices remain stable with light trading, as the market is cautious about the auction atmosphere for old grain [1] - Southern production area prices are steady, with high-quality soybeans maintaining strong prices despite weak demand in sales areas [1] - The soybean market is expected to face pressure at 4280 - 4300 CNY/ton and support at 4130 - 4150 CNY/ton, with tight supply but equally weak demand [1] Group 2: Peanuts - The peanut production area has low leftover stocks, influenced by delayed imports and poor profit margins, leading to fewer imported peanuts arriving [1] - New planting area for peanuts has slightly increased year-on-year, but demand remains weak as oil mills enter a purchasing lull [1] - Short positions may be considered with support at 8110 - 8182 CNY/ton and resistance at 8520 - 8528 CNY/ton [1] Group 3: Oils - Soybean oil prices have risen due to the Israel-Palestine conflict and favorable U.S. biodiesel policies, although domestic fundamentals remain largely unchanged [1] - The short-term outlook for soybean oil is weak, with resistance at 8000 - 8010 CNY/ton and support at 7770 - 7780 CNY/ton [1] - Canola oil is benefiting from rising crude oil prices and improved demand, with expectations of sufficient supply in the upcoming months [1] Group 4: Palm Oil - Palm oil prices are influenced by rising crude oil prices and U.S. EPA proposals, which improve biodiesel blending profits and demand [1] - From June 1 to 15, Malaysian palm oil production decreased by 4%, while exports increased by 17.7% to 26.3% [1] - The market is advised to hold long positions with support at 8100 - 8140 CNY/ton and resistance at 8704 - 8798 CNY/ton [1]