豆一、花生等农产品：价格走势及多空点位分析

Core Insights - The agricultural futures market shows mixed trends across various commodities, with specific focus on soybean, peanut, and oil prices influenced by both domestic and international factors [1] Soybean Market - Northeast soybean prices remain stable with light trading, while southern regions see steady prices for high-quality beans. Demand in sales areas is weak due to high temperatures affecting the preservation of soybean products, leading to cautious purchasing [1] - The domestic soybean supply is tight with weak demand, suggesting that there is insufficient driving force to pursue higher prices. The main contract for September is advised to be observed within the pressure range of 4280 - 4300 CNY/ton and support range of 4130 - 4150 CNY/ton [1] Peanut Market - Peanut stocks in production areas are low, with delays in imports and low profit margins affecting the arrival of imported peanuts. The planting area for the new season has slightly increased, reaching near historical highs [1] - Demand from oil mills is weak during the off-season, but rising crude oil prices and favorable U.S. biodiesel policies provide some support for peanut prices. A cautious long position is suggested with support at 8110 - 8182 CNY and resistance at 8520 - 8528 CNY [1] Oil Market - Soybean oil prices have risen due to the Israel-Palestine conflict and favorable U.S. biodiesel policies, although the domestic soybean oil fundamentals remain unchanged with weak demand [1] - The main contract for September should be monitored with resistance at 8000 - 8010 CNY and support at 7770 - 7780 CNY [1] Canola Oil Market - Canola oil prices are supported by rising crude oil prices, improving biodiesel blending profits and demand. However, high domestic canola oil inventories remain a concern [1] - The new season's canola planting is progressing well with expectations of increased production. Support is noted at 9200 - 9216 CNY and resistance at 9790 - 9798 CNY [1] Palm Oil Market - Palm oil prices are positively influenced by rising crude oil prices and favorable U.S. biodiesel proposals. Recent data shows a 4% decrease in palm oil production and a 17.7 - 26.3% increase in exports [1] - A cautious long position is recommended with support at 8100 - 8140 CNY and resistance at 8704 - 8798 CNY [1]