6·18的“七年之痒”：从狂欢到集体麻木了？

Core Insights - The annual "6·18" shopping festival, initially a celebration for JD.com, has evolved into a significant mid-year promotional event for the Chinese e-commerce industry, but it is now showing signs of fatigue and a trust crisis among consumers [2][3] Group 1: Sales Performance - In 2024, the total sales during the "6·18" event reached 742.8 billion yuan, marking a nearly 7% decline year-on-year, the first drop since 2018 [3][11] - Major e-commerce platforms have collectively stopped disclosing GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume) data, instead focusing on vague metrics like user engagement and order volume, reflecting their acknowledgment of growth challenges [3][8] Group 2: Consumer Attitudes - Consumer sentiment towards "6·18" has shifted significantly, with fewer social media posts celebrating purchases and a growing number of complaints about issues like product quality and return difficulties [4][11] - The Chinese Consumers Association reported a change in consumer complaints from traditional issues to new pain points such as "substandard goods" and "difficulties in returns," indicating a deeper change in the relationship between consumers and the shopping festival [4][10] Group 3: Marketing Strategies - Over-marketing has become a major turn-off for consumers, with platforms bombarding users with promotional ads, leading to increased resistance rather than purchase motivation [6][7] - The use of deceptive discount practices, such as artificially inflating prices before discounts, has eroded consumer trust, as many consumers find advertised "lowest prices" do not hold up under scrutiny [7][10] Group 4: Changing Consumer Behavior - The economic environment post-pandemic has led to a more rational consumer mindset, with a focus on value for money rather than impulsive buying, as evidenced by the decline in sales during "6·18" [11][12] - The rise of second-hand markets reflects a shift towards more sustainable consumption, challenging traditional e-commerce promotional models [12][13] Group 5: Generational Differences - Younger consumers (Gen Z) show a growing interest in low-cost options but exhibit low brand loyalty, indicating a need for e-commerce platforms to adopt more nuanced marketing strategies [12][13] - Mature consumers are becoming more cautious and resistant to traditional marketing tactics, necessitating a shift towards more refined operational strategies by e-commerce platforms [13]