Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the emergence of a new growth narrative in China's economy driven by the rapid development of AI technology and the resilient recovery of the private sector [1][2] - Goldman Sachs has introduced a "Chinese Prominent 10" portfolio, comprising ten major private listed companies in China, which has sparked discussions about the revaluation of Chinese assets [1][2] - The total market capitalization of the "Chinese Prominent 10" reached approximately 11.46 trillion yuan as of June 17, 2025, indicating significant market presence [4][6] Group 2 - The portfolio includes companies from various sectors such as technology, consumer goods, automotive, and pharmaceuticals, reflecting the direction of China's economic transformation and upgrading [3] - Key players in the technology sector include Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, and NetEase, while the consumer sector features Meituan, Midea, and Anta [3][6] - The report indicates that the compound annual growth rate of earnings for this portfolio is expected to reach 13% over the next two years, with an attractive current price-to-earnings ratio of 16 times [2][8] Group 3 - Since the end of 2020, private enterprises in China have faced significant market challenges, with a cumulative market value loss of nearly 4 trillion USD, but they are gradually regaining market vitality [3][10] - The report emphasizes that the "Chinese Prominent 10" has the potential to enhance market concentration and change investor perceptions of Chinese assets, similar to the "Seven Sisters" in the US market [7][13] - The policy environment for private enterprises has improved, with increased support from the government, which is expected to reduce policy risk premiums and boost market confidence [10][11] Group 4 - The report predicts that China's GDP growth rate will reach around 5.5% in 2025, driven by technological advancements, particularly in AI, which could contribute an additional 2.5% annual growth to earnings per share for listed companies [11][12] - Private enterprises are increasingly expanding into overseas markets, with significant growth in imports and exports, indicating their role as pioneers in China's "going global" strategy [12] - The concentration of market capitalization among leading private enterprises is expected to strengthen, with China's market showing significant potential for increased concentration compared to the US [13][14]
11万亿“十巨头”崛起,中国资产价值重估动能强劲
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-06-17 13:35