帮主郑重：中东火药桶炸崩美股，美联储前夜市场惊魂全解读

Market Overview - The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have escalated, with Trump demanding Iran's unconditional surrender and threatening further military action, leading to a significant decline in U.S. stock markets, with major indices falling nearly 1% [3] - Technology stocks were also affected, with Tesla dropping nearly 4%, while Intel saw a slight increase, indicating some resilience in the semiconductor sector [3] - Airline stocks suffered greatly, with JetBlue down nearly 8% and major carriers like United and Delta dropping over 6%, primarily due to rising oil prices impacting operational costs [3] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 1.77%, with companies like Hesai and Li Auto experiencing declines of over 6% and 4% respectively, attributed to financial scrutiny and competitive pressures in the EV market [4] - Internet companies such as Tencent Music and Bilibili also faced declines due to SEC delisting threats and regulatory tensions between the U.S. and China [4] Bond Market - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield decreased by 5.9 basis points to 4.3869%, reflecting mixed investor sentiment amid geopolitical tensions and concerns over rising oil prices potentially increasing inflation [4] - The two-year Treasury yield also fell but exhibited significant volatility, indicating uncertainty regarding short-term economic conditions [4] Commodities - Gold prices rose by 4% last week but have begun to retreat, with forecasts suggesting potential declines below $3,000 in the coming quarters, while silver prices increased by 2.2% due to its industrial demand [5] - Crude oil prices surged over 4% as Middle Eastern conflicts disrupted supply chains, with expectations of continued high prices due to potential U.S. intervention [5] Federal Reserve Outlook - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates in its upcoming policy decision, with market participants closely watching for signals from Powell regarding inflation control and potential rate cuts [5] - The overall market sentiment is heavily influenced by geopolitical developments and Federal Reserve policies, with a focus on companies with stable cash flows and minimal geopolitical exposure for long-term investments [5]