长期主义的思考：投资宽基指数基金，到底能否获益？

Core Insights - The investment value of index funds and ETFs has gained widespread recognition in the context of passive investment and tool-based products becoming market consensus [1] - A-shares' core broad-based indices are currently seeking direction amidst volatility after experiencing valuation recovery from last year's "924" policy bottom and this year's Deepseek technology breakthroughs [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The market is experiencing a significant shift, yet is currently in a state of short-term stagnation, prompting a return to the essence of investment and a simplified discussion on the core logic of long-term holding of broad-based index funds [2] - Market fluctuations create opportunities for rational investors, allowing them to buy low and sell high [4] - Quality assets are often undervalued during market downturns and may become overly hot during bullish phases [5] Group 2: Investment Strategies - Investors in broad-based index funds can benefit from market volatility through two main strategies: buying during undervaluation and holding long-term, or employing a systematic investment plan to average costs [6] - Historical simulations show that even if investors enter at market peaks, consistent monthly investments can lead to significantly improved outcomes compared to lump-sum investments [7][8] Group 3: Economic Growth and Index Composition - Broad-based indices represent a basket of quality listed companies, such as the CSI A500 Index, which includes 500 large and liquid firms across various industries [9] - These leading companies benefit from ongoing economic growth, with their profit growth and market share reflected in stock prices [10] - The self-updating mechanism of broad-based indices ensures they remain relevant and dynamic, adapting to market changes [10][11] Group 4: Dividend and Compounding Effects - Core broad-based indices consist of companies with stable earnings and cash flows, which typically distribute dividends to shareholders [13] - The reinvestment of dividends can significantly enhance overall returns through the power of compounding [13][14] Group 5: Long-term Investment Viability - Despite short-term volatility, the long-term upward trend of equity markets in a growing GDP economy suggests that investing in broad-based index funds can indeed be profitable [15] - Historical performance indicates that low-cost index funds are often the best investment strategy for both individual and institutional investors [15]