今夜注定失望？鲍威尔或效仿前任“鹰派谢幕”

Group 1 - The likelihood of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell announcing a rate cut after this week's policy meeting is very low, following the pattern of his three predecessors [1] - Powell's term will end in May next year, and he aims to maintain his anti-inflation credibility and political independence as he concludes his tenure [1] - Recent data shows both inflation and the economy are cooling, with political pressure from the Trump administration being a key factor affecting the Fed's actions [1] Group 2 - The market expects the Fed to maintain stable rates in June and July, but may revise economic and rate forecasts this week [2] - Investors are keen to find clues that could lead to the next rate cut, especially given the overall health of the U.S. economy despite a slow cooling [2] - Historical data indicates that the S&P 500 index has averaged a 16% increase in the last 12 months of the previous three Fed chairmen's terms [2]