贵金属成避险天堂，但黄金不再是第一选择？

Core Insights - Precious metals have shown strong performance this year, with gold, silver, and platinum all returning over 20%, significantly outperforming traditional safe-haven assets like U.S. Treasuries and the dollar [1] - The recent surge in precious metals is attributed to heightened risk aversion, concerns over the U.S. fiscal deficit, and a shift towards de-dollarization by foreign central banks amid changing political dynamics following Trump's return to the White House [1] - Gold has risen approximately 27% since 2025, while U.S. Treasuries have failed to provide traditional safe-haven benefits, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards gold and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin [1] Precious Metals Performance - Gold, silver, and platinum have all significantly outperformed traditional safe-haven assets, with platinum seeing a year-to-date increase of over 35% [1] - The SPDR Gold Trust and iShares Gold Trust have seen inflows exceeding $11 billion this year, with SPDR Gold Trust ranking 13th in the ETF industry with nearly $7 billion in assets [1] Silver and Platinum Opportunities - Investment opportunities in silver and platinum are highlighted, with silver recently surpassing $37 per ounce, marking a new high since 2012, yet still below its historical peak of $50 per ounce in 2011 [2] - The gold-silver ratio has recently decreased from 100:1 but remains above the long-term average of 60:1, indicating potential for silver investment [2] - Silver's dual role as an industrial and safe-haven asset positions it uniquely, with demand driven by applications in electronics, solar panels, and medical devices [2] Market Trends and Demand - The demand for platinum is also on the rise due to supply shortages and increased demand for platinum jewelry, driven by high gold prices [3] - The slowdown in electric vehicle adoption is expected to prolong the presence of internal combustion engines, increasing the demand for platinum and palladium in catalytic converters [3]