Geopolitical Analysis - Iran launched a missile attack on Israel's Mossad headquarters on June 17, escalating tensions in the Middle East. Despite this, gold prices did not see a significant increase on June 18, with New York gold futures dropping 0.10% to $3403.4 per ounce, indicating a potential "fatigue effect" among investors regarding geopolitical conflicts [2] - The effectiveness of Iran's missile technology remains questionable, which has weakened the sustainability of safe-haven sentiment in the market [2] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve held a meeting on June 17-18, with expectations to maintain interest rates. However, there is a focus on guidance regarding potential rate cuts later in the year. The U.S. May CPI showed a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, which was below expectations, but the lagging effects of tariff policies may increase future inflationary pressures, leading to a cautious stance from the Fed [2] - On June 17, the U.S. dollar index rose 0.19% to 98.2322, exerting short-term pressure on gold. Nevertheless, the CME "Fed Watch" indicates a 62% probability of a rate cut in September, providing medium to long-term support for gold [2] Gold Technical Analysis - The spot gold price opened at 3386.78 yuan per ounce, showing no clear trend throughout the day and closing at 3388.47, forming a doji candlestick. The daily closing price remains above the moving average, indicating a bullish direction [5] - The hourly price is entangled with the moving average, showing no clear direction, but there is some support at this level. The 15-minute level shows a lack of trend opportunities, with only oscillation at the bottom [5] - Today's trading suggestion is to adopt a high sell-low buy strategy on the 15-minute level, with profit-taking and stop-loss levels set between 3360-3400 [5] Silver Technical Analysis - On Friday, silver opened at 36.301 and broke through to a new high, showing a strong upward trend, closing at 37.116 with a bullish candlestick. The closing price is above the 20-day moving average, indicating a bullish outlook [7] - The hourly level shows a breakout from the central range, with prices above the moving average, confirming a bullish direction. The 15-minute level is currently oscillating at a high position, suggesting further upward movement is likely [7] - Today's trading suggestion is to look for buying opportunities on the 15-minute level, with stop-loss set at 36.700 and profit target at 37.500 [7]
巨富金业：黄金震荡待突破，白银强势领涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-18 07:33