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全球经济波动下,黄金价格将迎暴跌?分析师揭示背后真相
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-18 10:33

Core Viewpoint - Citibank analysts predict a significant decline in gold prices, potentially dropping below $3,000 per ounce in the coming quarters, with estimates suggesting a range of $2,500 to $2,700 per ounce by the second half of 2026 [3][5]. Group 1: Current Gold Prices and Predictions - Current gold prices are at $3,386.14 per ounce for Dunjin and $3,405.00 per ounce for New York gold, indicating a substantial gap from the predicted lows [3]. - The anticipated drop in gold prices could present a buying opportunity for investors who have been waiting for lower entry points [3]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The recent high prices of gold have been driven by global economic uncertainty, market volatility, and the long-term impacts of the pandemic, leading investors to seek gold as a safe haven [5]. - U.S. monetary policy, particularly interest rate changes by the Federal Reserve, is expected to have a direct impact on gold prices, with potential rate hikes reducing gold's attractiveness and shifting funds to other investment channels [5][7]. Group 3: Future Scenarios for Gold - Analysts suggest a polarized outlook for gold prices, where continued global economic recovery could diminish gold's safe-haven appeal, while renewed geopolitical tensions could drive prices back up [7]. - The relationship between gold prices and global economic conditions is highlighted, with fluctuations reflecting broader economic and political changes [7]. Group 4: Investment Considerations - Despite potential price declines, gold remains a traditional safe-haven asset with unique value during economic turmoil, suggesting that investors may still consider it a viable option [9]. - The question of whether to wait for lower gold prices or invest now reflects the ongoing uncertainty in the market and the enduring belief in gold's long-term value [9].