核阴云下的较量：以伊冲突走向何方

Core Points - The ongoing military conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated, with Israel's military actions aimed at destroying Iran's nuclear facilities, particularly the Fordow site [1][2] - The U.S. is preparing to provide Israel with advanced munitions, including the GBU-43/B bomb, to target Iran's underground nuclear sites [1] - Iran's leadership has vowed to continue its opposition to Israel, indicating a deepening of hostilities [1][2] Group 1: Historical Context - The conflict between Israel and Iran has roots dating back to the 1979 Islamic Revolution, which transformed Iran from an ally to a staunch enemy of Israel [2] - Iran has consistently supported groups opposing Israel, such as Hamas and Hezbollah, and has been suspected of developing nuclear weapons, posing an existential threat to Israel [2][3] - The 2023 Hamas attacks on Israel have intensified the conflict, prompting Israel to target Iranian support for Hamas [2] Group 2: Nuclear Developments - As of May 31, 2025, Iran's enriched uranium stockpile has increased significantly, raising concerns about its nuclear capabilities [3] - The International Atomic Energy Agency reported that Iran's uranium enrichment levels have reached 60%, far exceeding the limits set by the 2015 nuclear agreement [3] Group 3: U.S. Involvement - The likelihood of U.S. military involvement in the conflict is increasing, with reports of B2 bombers being deployed to target Iranian nuclear facilities [5] - While the U.S. has expressed a desire to avoid direct ground troop involvement, it is considering airstrikes to weaken Iran's regime [5][6] Group 4: Geopolitical Implications - Israel's military actions are framed as self-defense, but there is skepticism regarding their legitimacy and potential for nuclear proliferation [6] - The ongoing conflict reflects a broader trend of escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly in the context of the Russia-Ukraine war [6]