Transformer 在具身智能“水土不服”，大模型强≠机器人强

Core Insights - The year 2025 is anticipated to be the "Year of Embodied Intelligence," driven by significant events and advancements in robotics and AI technologies [1] - There is a growing interest and investment in the field of general robotics, but concerns about sustainability and potential market bubbles persist [1] - Experts are exploring the challenges and advancements in embodied intelligence, focusing on the gap between technological ideals and engineering realities [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - A surge in robotics startups and investments indicates a strong belief in the potential of general robotics [1][2] - The transition from multi-modal large models to embodied intelligence is seen as a natural evolution, requiring substantial data and infrastructure improvements [3][4] - Current AI models face limitations in multi-task scenarios, highlighting the need for better adaptability and learning mechanisms [5][6] Group 2: Technical Challenges - The high energy consumption and training costs of large models pose significant challenges for their application in robotics [4][5] - There is a notable gap between the capabilities of large models and the multi-modal sensory systems of robots, complicating their integration [6][7] - The industry is exploring both modular and end-to-end architectures for embodied intelligence, with a shift towards more unified systems [9][10] Group 3: Research and Development - Research is focused on bridging the gap between human, AI, and robotic intelligence, aiming for better collaboration and understanding [16][18] - The current state of embodied intelligence is limited, with robots primarily executing pre-defined tasks rather than understanding human needs [18][19] - Future developments may involve creating systems that can interpret human intentions directly, bypassing traditional communication methods [20][21] Group 4: Future Outlook - Experts believe that achieving true embodied intelligence will require overcoming significant technical hurdles, particularly in understanding and interacting with the physical world [23][24] - The evolution of AI architectures, particularly beyond the current Transformer models, is essential for the long-term success of embodied intelligence [24][25] - The next five to ten years are expected to be critical for advancements in both hardware and software, potentially leading to widespread adoption of household robots [31][32]