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DWS:上调金价预测明年6月目标每盎司3750美元 美联储最快秋季才减息
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-06-18 12:01

Group 1: Market Outlook - DWS forecasts that gold will continue to rise, with a target price of $3,750 per ounce by June 2025, driven by geopolitical risks, declining confidence in the dollar, increased global liquidity, and ongoing central bank purchases [1] - The S&P 500 index is expected to reach 6,100 points by June 2025, supported by the AI boom and overall digital technology growth [2] - European stock markets have outperformed U.S. markets this year, with the Stoxx 600 index projected to reach 570 points by June 2025, contingent on when corporate earnings adjustments conclude [2] Group 2: Economic Growth Projections - DWS predicts U.S. economic growth will slow to 1.2% in 2025, down from 2.8% in 2024, due to declining corporate investment amid trade disputes and weak consumer sentiment [2] - European economic growth is forecasted at 1.1% for 2025, showing improvement compared to 0.8% in 2024 [2] Group 3: Emerging Markets and Currency Trends - DWS finds Chinese stocks more attractive than Indian stocks, noting improvements in sentiment and performance in the Chinese market, particularly in consumer and technology sectors [3] - The euro is expected to strengthen against the dollar, with a forecast of 1.18 by June 2025, as the dollar weakens due to de-globalization trends and reduced investor confidence [3]