Group 1 - The core issue in the US-China trade negotiations revolves around rare earth exports, with China agreeing to approve some non-military rare earth export licenses while maintaining a hardline stance on military-grade exports [2][4] - The US has gradually relaxed some high-tech product export restrictions but remains firm on advanced AI chip exports, indicating a complex negotiation landscape [2][6] - The US is considering extending the tariff suspension agreement that is set to expire on August 10 by another 90 days, reflecting ongoing diplomatic efforts [2][9] Group 2 - China holds a dominant position in the rare earth market, producing approximately 70% of global rare earth output and 99% of heavy rare earth refining capacity, which is critical for military applications [4][6] - The US military, particularly companies like Lockheed Martin, heavily relies on samarium for manufacturing F-35 fighter jets, highlighting the strategic importance of rare earths in defense [6][9] - Despite efforts to find alternatives and restart domestic mining, the US still depends on China for processing rare earths, indicating a significant supply chain vulnerability [6][10] Group 3 - The ongoing trade tensions have led to a strategic stalemate, with both sides holding critical resources—China with rare earths and the US with advanced semiconductor technology [10] - China's recent measures include issuing short-term rare earth export licenses to domestic electric vehicle manufacturers and implementing a digital tracking system for rare earth exports to prevent re-exportation [10] - The situation reflects a shift in power dynamics, with the US realizing that its previous strategies to pressure China may no longer be effective, as evidenced by the need to negotiate on rare earth exports [10]
军用稀土排除在外,特朗普终于明白,已没有从实力地位出发的资本
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-18 12:15