特朗普换了个领域对华出手，万没想到，“这一刀”先落在美国的大动脉上

Group 1 - Over 60% of economists believe that Trump's tariff policy will severely damage the US economy, with negative effects exceeding expectations [1] - The Trump administration plans to restart the trade war with China in 2025, raising tariffs to an unprecedented 145%, which is expected to undermine the competitiveness of Chinese supply chains [3] - The US Commerce Secretary acknowledged that the tariff policy has led to a "supply crisis" for domestic companies, impacting major firms like Boeing and Walmart, resulting in increased costs for consumers [3][4] Group 2 - High tariffs have triggered inflation and a crisis in living standards in the US, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) soaring to 3.2% and unemployment rising significantly [4] - Goldman Sachs predicts that US GDP growth may drop to 0.5% in 2025 due to trade friction, with a 45% probability of economic recession according to Bloomberg [4] - A survey by the US Chamber of Commerce indicates that 83% of businesses believe tariffs harm their competitiveness, yet Trump insists that retailers absorb the costs, highlighting a disconnect between policy and business needs [4] Group 3 - The international community's trust in the US is eroding, with credit ratings downgraded and global investors losing over $10 trillion due to policy uncertainty [6] - Countries like the EU and Japan are moving closer to China, openly opposing US economic decoupling efforts, while China is responding with systematic countermeasures [6] - The US is facing a strategic quagmire, with Trump's approval rating plummeting to a historic low, prompting the White House to seek negotiations to mitigate economic fallout [8]