Affirm(US:AFRM) ZACKSยท2025-06-18 16:56Core Insights - Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM) has raised its full-year guidance for fiscal 2025 following a strong performance in Q3, indicating confidence in its growth strategies and fundamentals [1][10] - The company expects significant growth in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and transaction volumes, driven by repeat customers and increased card network revenues [1][4] Financial Performance - For fiscal 2025, AFRM forecasts revenues between $3.163 billion and $3.193 billion, an increase from the previous guidance of $3.13 billion to $3.19 billion [2] - The adjusted operating margin for fiscal 2025 has been raised to a range of 23% to 23.6%, up from 22.5% to 23.5% [2] - The revenue guidance for Q4 fiscal 2025 is now projected to be between $815 million and $845 million [2] Growth Metrics - In fiscal 2023, GMV was $20.2 billion, with a year-over-year growth of approximately 32% in fiscal 2024, followed by a 36% increase in the first nine months of fiscal 2025 [3] - AFRM anticipates GMV for fiscal 2025 to be between $35.7 billion and $36 billion, an increase from the previous forecast of $34.74 billion to $35.34 billion [3][10] - The growth in GMV is attributed to partnerships with major merchants, wallet partners, and direct-to-consumer offerings [4] Competitive Landscape - Competitors such as PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) and Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) are also showing growth, with PayPal's net revenues increasing 1% year-over-year to $7.8 billion in Q1 2025 and Sezzle's GMV rising 64.1% year-over-year to $808.7 million in the same period [5][6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, AFRM's shares have increased by 96.2%, outperforming the industry growth of 37.1% [7] - AFRM trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 4.94, which is below the industry average of 5.68 [8] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Affirm's 2025 earnings implies a growth of 100.6% from the previous year, with five upward estimate revisions in the past 60 days [12]