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房地产出台新政策,房价这一次真的又要涨起来了吗?看清这几点!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-18 19:10

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite new policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, the potential for housing prices to rise remains uncertain due to existing demand and supply dynamics [2][10][12] - The State Council has proposed measures to assess and optimize existing real estate policies to stabilize expectations, activate demand, and mitigate risks [3][8] - There is evidence of existing demand for housing, as indicated by a slight narrowing in the decline of new housing sales, with a reported 28,262 million square meters sold from January to April, down 2.8% year-on-year [6][10] Group 2 - Local governments are actively acquiring idle land and existing properties to support market stabilization, with over 430 billion yuan allocated for such initiatives by the end of May [8] - The demand for housing persists, particularly in urban areas, driven by factors such as marriage, education, and lifestyle aspirations, despite current price levels not being satisfactory for buyers [10][11] - The market is characterized by a mismatch between buyers' purchasing power and current housing prices, which may hinder price increases [11][12] Group 3 - The potential for price increases is more likely in the segment of improvement housing, as there is a growing desire for better living conditions among consumers [13] - Core urban areas may see price increases due to population influx, while non-core areas are expected to experience price stabilization or declines due to oversupply and demographic shifts [14][15] - Overall, despite favorable policies, the combination of aging population, declining birth rates, and excess inventory suggests that significant price increases in most regions are unlikely [14][15]