美联储再维持利率不变，点阵图暗示今年仍可能降息两次

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50%, marking the fourth consecutive decision to keep rates unchanged, aligning with market expectations [2] - Recent indicators show steady expansion in U.S. economic activity, low unemployment rates, and a stable labor market, although inflation remains "slightly high" [2] - The Fed's economic forecast was adjusted, lowering the GDP growth expectation for this year by 0.3 percentage points to 1.4%, while raising the core PCE price index expectation to 3.1% and the unemployment rate expectation to 4.5% [2] Group 2 - The dot plot indicates expectations for two rate cuts in 2025, with varying opinions among officials regarding the timing and number of cuts [3] - Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the current policy stance is appropriate and that the Fed will wait to assess economic developments before considering policy adjustments [3] - Powell noted that tariffs will likely raise prices and impact economic activity, with the extent of the impact depending on the scope and duration of the tariffs [3] Group 3 - Powell reiterated that the Fed's focus is on ensuring a robust U.S. economy with a strong labor market and stable prices, dismissing personal attacks from President Trump [4] - Powell's term will end in May 2026, and there is speculation about potential candidates for the next Fed Chair, including former Fed Governor Kevin Walsh and Treasury Secretary Scott Benset [4]