百利好早盘分析：美联储决议无意外 中东迷局未撑金价

Group 1: Gold Market - The Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision signals a hawkish stance, leading to a drop in gold prices by approximately $20 on June 18, with prices falling below $3350, marking a one-week low [1] - The Fed maintained interest rates for the fourth consecutive time, with an increasing number of officials supporting no rate cuts this year, which has negatively impacted gold prices [1] - The ongoing conflict in the Middle East adds uncertainty, which may limit further declines in gold prices, depending on U.S. military actions and Iran's responses [1] Group 2: Oil Market - The potential U.S. military intervention in the Israel-Iran conflict is a significant factor, alongside a substantial drop in U.S. EIA crude oil inventories, which saw a decrease of 11.473 million barrels, indicating rising seasonal demand [3][6] - Oil prices experienced volatility but returned above $75, reflecting the impact of geopolitical tensions and inventory changes [3][5] - The technical outlook suggests that oil prices are in a range-bound movement, with a critical support level at $73.20; maintaining above this level could indicate a bullish trend [6] Group 3: U.S. Dollar Index - The U.S. Dollar Index has broken through the downtrend line since May 13, regaining the 99 level, with a potential upward movement towards 100.50 if it surpasses the 99.40 resistance [7] Group 4: Dow Jones - The Dow Jones has shown signs of weakness after breaking below the uptrend line since April, with a support level at 41800; a breach could lead to further selling pressure [8]