3 6 Ke·2025-06-19 10:53Group 1 - The 618 shopping festival this year is described as the "most difficult ever," with a long duration of 39 days, starting on May 13, which is 7 days earlier than last year [1] - Consumer enthusiasm for the event has declined, with many expressing confusion and disappointment over the promotional strategies and perceived lack of real discounts [1][11] - The overall online retail growth has slowed, with the proportion of online retail sales of physical goods dropping from 27.6% in 2023 to 26.8% in 2024, and further down to 24.5% in the first five months of this year [4] Group 2 - Major platforms have reported mixed results, with Tmall seeing a 24% year-on-year increase in the number of brands achieving over 100 million yuan in sales, while JD reported over 100% growth in the number of users placing orders [5][6] - The national subsidy policy has expanded this year, covering more categories, including kitchen appliances and consumer electronics, which has driven sales growth in these areas [6][7] Group 3 - The shift in consumer behavior has led merchants to reassess the value of major promotions, with reports of low expectations and high return rates affecting inventory decisions [20][21] - The live-streaming e-commerce sector, once a significant growth driver, is now facing challenges, with top influencers like Li Jiaqi experiencing controversies and reduced activity [23][26][28] - The overall market for live-streaming e-commerce is nearing saturation, with growth rates declining sharply from 600% in 2018 to just 15% recently [27][29]