
Core Viewpoint - The decline in deposit interest rates has led to a significant "deposit migration" phenomenon, with non-bank deposits experiencing substantial growth as investors seek better returns in alternative financial products [1][2][3]. Group 1: Deposit Trends - As of the end of May, the balance of RMB deposits reached 316.96 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, with nearly 2.2 trillion yuan added in the month, which is 500 billion yuan more than the same period last year [2]. - Non-bank deposits increased by nearly 1.2 trillion yuan in May, marking a year-on-year increase of 300 billion yuan, the highest for the same period in nearly a decade [2]. - The cumulative increase in non-bank deposits this year has reached 3.07 trillion yuan, up 680 billion yuan year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Interest Rate Changes - Major state-owned banks initiated a significant reduction in deposit interest rates starting May 20, marking the first large-scale adjustment since 2025 and the seventh rate cut since October 2024 [3]. - The average interest rates for various deposit terms have fallen below 1% for short-term deposits, with the average rates for 3-year and 5-year deposits also entering the "1 era" [3]. - The average interest rates for 3-month, 6-month, 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, and 5-year deposits were reported as 1.004%, 1.212%, 1.339%, 1.428%, 1.711%, and 1.573% respectively, with significant declines observed across all terms [2]. Group 3: Factors Driving Deposit Migration - The reduction in deposit interest rates has diminished the attractiveness of bank deposits, prompting a shift towards non-bank financial products that offer relatively higher returns [1][3]. - The improvement of self-regulatory mechanisms for non-bank deposits and the ongoing regulation of wealth management products have accelerated the transfer of funds to the wealth management market [1]. - The "deposit migration" trend has been evident since last year, with two phases: the first phase involved a shift to wealth management and funds due to rising bond yields, while the second phase saw funds moving into the stock market as it began to recover [4][5]. Group 4: Impact on Financial Products - The decline in deposit rates has led to increased attractiveness of public fund products, money market funds, and insurance products, resulting in a significant shift of deposits into these financial products [5][6]. - The scale of bank wealth management has continued to grow, with a reported increase of 340 billion yuan in May, reaching 31.6 trillion yuan, further evidencing the "deposit migration" effect [6]. - Analysts suggest that the current trend of "deposit migration" may not yet be over, with expectations of continued investment in the bond market as non-bank institutions actively purchase bonds [6].