A股意外跳水！6月20日，分歧释放后的新周期即将来临？

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is unlikely to easily abandon its fight against inflation, facing a dilemma of either economic recession or stagflation [1] - ADP employment data indicates a poor job market, suggesting that the Fed may have to lower interest rates if inflation continues to cool [1] - The market predicts that the dollar may experience four interest rate cuts this year, with the probability of a cut in June approaching zero [1] Group 2 - A-shares experienced a significant drop, largely influenced by the decline in Hong Kong stocks, with both the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices showing a typical bearish trend [3] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index both fell over 2%, highlighting the strong correlation between A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [3] Group 3 - The market opened lower and continued to decline throughout the day, breaking below the 30-day moving average, indicating a downward trend after a period of consolidation [5] - The next key support levels to watch for potential buying opportunities are between 3316 and 3324 points [5] Group 4 - The ChiNext and Shenzhen Composite indices fell over 1%, with more than 4600 stocks declining across the two markets [7] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets increased to 1.25 trillion, indicating heightened selling pressure and a preference for risk aversion among investors [7] - Despite the short-term bearish trend, the mid-term weekly and monthly structures remain stable, suggesting a potential new cycle may emerge after the current divergence [7]