Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-06-20 01:55Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities highlights the significant growth potential in China's medical aesthetics industry, driven by increasing awareness and an aging customer base, with injectable products expected to outpace overall industry growth due to supply-side improvements [1] Market Growth - Despite short-term pressures, the long-term outlook for the medical aesthetics market is positive, with a projected terminal scale exceeding 230 billion yuan in 2023 and a CAGR of 10%-15% from 2024 to 2027; injectables are expected to grow at a CAGR of 20%-30% over the next five years [1] - The report indicates that the number of medical aesthetic treatments per thousand people in South Korea, Japan, and China are 91 (2019), 71 (2023E), and 34 (2023E) respectively, suggesting significant room for growth driven by increased awareness and an aging population [1] Development Trends - The competitive landscape for products is expected to evolve into a U-shaped pattern, with initial high concentration due to regulatory barriers, followed by increased competition, and ultimately a return to higher concentration as operational capabilities differentiate companies [2] - The medical aesthetics industry is characterized by "limited innovation," making operational capabilities increasingly important; leading companies are expected to benefit from their established operational strengths [2][3] Investment Recommendations - There are opportunities for product breakthroughs, particularly in non-hyaluronic acid materials, with over 110 approved injectable products in China, and limited competition in other categories; new product approvals, especially in botulinum toxin and other innovative materials, are anticipated to drive market growth [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of comprehensive operational capabilities, with leading companies expected to maintain their competitive edge in a market characterized by limited innovation [3]