黄金，避险却大跌！暴跌在路上还是酝酿多头？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the ongoing volatility in the gold market, with a significant focus on the current bearish trend led by short sellers, despite some fluctuations in price [3][5] - The average daily volatility of gold has decreased to between $30 and $60, compared to previous periods where it was often over $80 or even $100 [3] - The current gold price behavior resembles the pattern observed in 2011 before a significant drop in 2013, indicating a prolonged period of market fluctuations [5] Group 2 - The analysis suggests that geopolitical tensions, such as the conflict in the Middle East, are being used as excuses for short sellers to drive prices down rather than as a catalyst for a safe-haven rally [5] - Specific price levels for gold are highlighted, with resistance noted at $3372-75 and potential support at $3345-50, indicating a cautious trading strategy [5] - Silver is also experiencing upward pressure, with resistance at $37.3 and potential short positions suggested if prices exceed this level [5] Group 3 - The Shanghai gold and silver markets are following the international gold trend, with recommendations for short positions above certain price levels [7] - The crude oil market is experiencing significant volatility due to geopolitical factors, with recent price movements comparable to the past two months [7] - The U.S. dollar index shows signs of stabilization, with a potential rebound target set at the 102 level, contingent on market movements [12]