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瑞穗银行:泰国央行需要降息50至75个基点以稳住局势

Core Viewpoint - Thailand is facing a new political crisis that threatens its economy, which is already on the brink of a technical recession, necessitating a potential interest rate cut by the central bank to stabilize the situation [1] Economic Situation - Thailand's economy is at risk due to ongoing political instability and the impact of the global trade war [1] - The country experienced lower economic growth last year compared to neighboring countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Singapore [1] Political Context - The current Prime Minister, Prayut Chan-o-cha, is facing internal divisions within the ruling coalition, which could lead to legislative stagnation and affect trade negotiations with the United States [1] - The previous Prime Minister was ousted by a court ruling, and her father was overthrown in a military coup, highlighting the political volatility [1] Recommendations - Mizuho Bank's macro research head for Asia, Vishnu Varathan, suggests that the Bank of Thailand may need to accelerate interest rate cuts by 50 to 75 basis points to boost economic confidence [1] - There is an urgent need for additional stimulus measures due to weakened business confidence and fragile market sentiment [1]