Results Briefing Year ended 30 June 2025 Sophia Rahmani | CEO & Managing Director Dean McGuire | CFO For personal use only Agenda For personal use only | 1. | FY25 overview | Sophia Rahmani | 3 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2. | Financial result and capital management | Dean McGuire | 7 | | 3. | Investment Management | Sophia Rahmani | 13 | | 4. | Strategic Partnerships | Sophia Rahmani | 18 | | 5. | FY25 review and FY26 priorities | Sophia Rahmani | 23 | 3 FY25 overview For personal use only 2 For personal ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Operating profit increased by 5.4% to $159.7 million, supported by disciplined cost management and increased distributions from fund investments [2][10] - Revenue decreased by 12% year-on-year, primarily due to a reduction in average management fees across assets under management (AUM) [3][12] - Statutory profit fell by 31% compared to the prior period, reflecting lower mark-to-market gains on investments [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Investment Management business, AUM rose by 8.2% to $39.6 billion, driven by strong investment returns across strategies [2][18] - Management fees decreased by 8.6% due to a 13% reduction in the average fee rate, partially offset by a 4% increase in average AUM [12] - Performance fees amounted to $11.1 million, driven by strong performance in the infrastructure strategy [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The strategic partnerships segment saw profits triple to $31.1 million, contributing 20% of total operating profit [3][14] - Barron Joey's NPAT rose by 73% with revenue up 24%, indicating strong growth across multiple business lines [27] - Vimba contributed positively to the annual result for the first time, reinforcing the strategic fit and earnings potential of the partnership [14][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to provide diversified sources of revenue and has refreshed its corporate brand to better position itself for the future [1][5] - The strategy focuses on high-quality partnerships, particularly in investment management and specialist financial services, to enhance earnings diversity [4][30] - The company plans to pay out at least 80% of group operating profit as dividends, reflecting growth in earnings from strategic partners [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future, citing strong performance from strategic partnerships and a solid balance sheet [9][10] - The company is focused on improving long-term investment performance and expanding client solutions through strategic partnerships [34][35] - Management acknowledged challenges from super fund internalization and geopolitical instability but remains committed to providing alpha for clients [51] Other Important Information - The company declared a fully franked final ordinary dividend of $0.259 per share, reflecting a payout ratio of 95% of investment management operating profit [10] - The company has over $560 million in liquid capital, providing strategic optionality for future growth [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on the infrastructure fund and institutional clients' sentiment after leadership changes - Management reported no institutional client outflows following leadership changes, with positive client responses and increased attention to listed infrastructure as a strong asset class [40] Question: Is Barron Joey close to maturity or still has growth potential? - Management indicated that Barron Joey is not in a mature state and continues to see growth across multiple business lines [43] Question: Net flows in the first weeks of FY '26 compared to FY '25 - Management noted no material changes in net flows, with good momentum continuing from FY '25 [45] Question: Impact of fee transitions on margins - Management confirmed that the transition of fee rates will have a relatively small impact on overall margins [47] Question: Stability of AUM growth and future pressures - Management expressed optimism about the stabilization of AUM growth, despite ongoing challenges from super fund internalization and geopolitical instability [49] Question: Changes in revenue margins and fee reductions - Management clarified that there have been no changes in advertised rates, with the reduction in fee rates primarily due to compositional changes [54] Question: Future use of surplus capital - Management stated that they continue to explore strategic partnerships while balancing returns to shareholders through buybacks [58][60]

Group 1 - Mizuho Financial Group is one of Japan's three megabanks, alongside Mitsubishi UFJ and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial [1] - The company has experienced significant growth recently, indicating strong performance in the banking sector [1]

Core Insights - The research service "Asia Value & Moat Stocks" targets value investors looking for Asia-listed stocks with significant discrepancies between market price and intrinsic value, focusing on deep value balance sheet bargains and wide moat stocks [1][2] Group 1: Investment Focus - The service emphasizes purchasing assets at a discount, such as net cash stocks, net-nets, low price-to-book (P/B) stocks, and sum-of-the-parts discounts [1] - It also highlights the importance of acquiring earnings power at a discount in high-quality companies, including "Magic Formula" stocks and hidden champions [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - A previous update from May 27, 2025, suggested that an upward revision of the fiscal year 2025 outlook or achieving better-than-expected actual results for MFG is likely [1]

Mizuho Financial Group raises its annual profit forecast and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group’s earnings exceeded expectations https://t.co/Jf1uhYjuwV ...

Financial Performance Highlights - Consolidated Net Business Profits decreased by 37% YoY, reaching JPY 3164 billion, impacted by Yen appreciation, but progress is at 24% vs FY25 Outlook of JPY 128 trillion[6, 9] - Profit Attributable to Owners of Parent increased by 04% YoY, totaling JPY 2905 billion, driven by net gains related to stocks and reversals in credit-related costs, with progress at 30% vs FY25 Outlook of JPY 094 trillion[6, 11] - TSE ROE increased by 12 percentage points due to profit growth and other factors, indicating improving capital efficiency[6, 12] Business Segment Performance - Customer Groups experienced strong interest income and fee business, contributing to largely flat YoY Consolidated Gross Profits, which decreased by 09%[7] - Retail & Business Banking Company (RBC) reported Profit Attributable to Owners of Parent of JPY 439 billion[18, 33] - Corporate & Investment Banking Company (CIBC) reported Profit Attributable to Owners of Parent of JPY 314 billion[18, 33] Balance Sheet and Asset Quality - Total Assets reached JPY 278 trillion, a decrease of 46%[19] - Loans in Japan showed a Loan and Deposit Rate Margin of 061%[21] - Loans outside Japan had a Loan and Deposit Rate Margin of 494%[24] - Non-performing Loans (NPL) Ratio stood at 073%[30] Non-Interest Income - Non-Interest Income reached JPY 3163 billion[27] - Global Corporate & Investment Banking Company (GCIBC) contributed JPY 1122 billion to Non-Interest Income[27] Future Outlook - The company revised its FY25 earnings outlook upward, anticipating further business growth, with a Consolidated Net Business Profits outlook of JPY 133 trillion and Profit Attributable to Owners of Parent outlook of JPY 800 billion[36]

Market Performance - The US stock market saw significant gains on July 23, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 507.85 points, or 1.14%, closing at 45010.29 points. The Nasdaq Composite increased by 127.33 points, or 0.61%, closing at 21020.02 points, marking its first close above the 21000-point threshold. The S&P 500 index rose by 49.29 points, or 0.78%, closing at 6358.91 points [1][3][4]. Trade Agreements - President Trump announced a trade agreement between the US and Japan, which has heightened market expectations for further trade agreements before the August 1 tariff deadline. The agreement includes a reduction of the reciprocal tariff rate from 25% to 15% and Japan's commitment to invest $550 billion in the US [2][6][7]. Sector Performance - In the S&P 500, nine out of eleven sectors experienced gains, with the healthcare and industrial sectors leading with increases of 2.03% and 1.75%, respectively. The utilities and consumer staples sectors saw declines of 0.79% and 0.07% [8]. - Major technology stocks mostly rose, with AMD increasing over 3%, and other companies like NVIDIA, Boeing, and TSMC rising over 2%. Financial stocks also saw gains, with Mizuho Financial up over 6% and UBS Group up over 3% [8]. Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 0.75%, with notable increases in stocks such as iQIYI, which rose over 4%, and Tiger Brokers, which increased over 3%. However, some stocks like NIO and Li Auto saw declines of over 1% [9].

Core Viewpoint - Mizuho Bank has initiated a collaboration with SoftBank to develop a financial large language model, aiming to enhance financial services and customer interactions [1] Group 1 - The partnership between Mizuho Bank and SoftBank focuses on leveraging advanced AI technologies to improve financial operations and customer engagement [1] - The development of the financial large language model is expected to streamline processes and provide more personalized services to clients [1] - This collaboration reflects a growing trend in the financial industry towards integrating AI solutions to enhance efficiency and competitiveness [1]

Core Insights - Mizuho Bank plans to utilize artificial intelligence services developed by SoftBank and OpenAI [1] Company Strategy - The collaboration aims to enhance Mizuho Bank's operational efficiency and customer service through advanced AI technologies [1] Industry Implications - This initiative reflects a broader trend in the banking industry towards integrating AI solutions to improve service delivery and operational processes [1]

Group 1: Global Investor Sentiment - Global investor sentiment has reached its most optimistic level since February 2025, with the increase in profit optimism being the largest since July 2020 [1] - The proportion of cash in investment portfolios has dropped to 3.9%, typically indicating an overbought market and triggering a "sell signal" [1] - Investors have the highest overweight position in Eurozone assets since January 2005, despite viewing trade wars as the biggest potential systemic risk [1] Group 2: U.S. Debt and Fiscal Policy - Deutsche Bank forecasts that U.S. debt interest expenses will increase by approximately $100 billion this year, driven mainly by rising outstanding debt [2] - The passage of the "Inflation Reduction Act" has heightened concerns regarding U.S. fiscal health and debt sustainability [2] - The market expects the U.S. Treasury to rely more on short-term bonds to control interest costs in the short term [2] Group 3: Japanese Economic Policy - RBC indicates that the outcome of the Japanese Senate elections could lead to tax cuts and fiscal stimulus, potentially worsening fiscal conditions and delaying interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan [3] - Japan's 20-year government bond yield has reached a new high of 2.657% since 1999, reflecting rising long-term financing cost pressures [3] Group 4: Asian Currency and Market Dynamics - Barclays notes that low yields on Asian currencies make them less attractive to yield-seeking investors, especially with potential increases in U.S. tariffs [3] - Discussions on de-dollarization are limited by insufficient liquidity and mature domestic markets in many Asian countries [3] Group 5: German Economic Outlook - The ZEW Institute reports that market sentiment is bolstered by hopes for a swift resolution to U.S.-EU tariff disputes and immediate investment stimulus plans from the German government [4] - Despite ongoing global trade conflicts, nearly two-thirds of experts predict an improvement in the German economy [5]