百利好晚盘分析：避险情绪降温 金价重心下移

Gold Market - The gold price has been under pressure due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish signals and a lack of increased safe-haven buying amid Middle East tensions, with prices dropping to a one-week low of $3340 [1] - President Trump criticized Fed Chairman Powell, suggesting a 250 basis point rate cut, while the Fed maintained rates in June, with an increasing number of officials expecting no cuts this year [1] - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East, including potential negotiations with Iran, has also contributed to the downward pressure on gold prices [1][2] Oil Market - Oil prices experienced volatility, initially rising to $77.66 due to concerns over U.S. military involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict, but later fell to around $73 as negotiations were announced [3] - The easing of tensions through potential talks between the U.S. and Iran has reduced risk premiums in the oil market, leading to a significant price drop [3] - Current EIA data indicates rising seasonal demand and low compliance with OPEC+ production increases, which may limit further declines in oil prices despite geopolitical uncertainties [3] U.S. Dollar Index - The U.S. Dollar Index has retreated from above the 99 level, with support noted around 98.50 and resistance at 99.40, indicating potential for a bottoming pattern [4] Dow Jones Industrial Average - The Dow Jones has shown a downward trend, with resistance at approximately 42200, suggesting a risk of accelerated declines if it remains below this level [5]