SCIE(SH:600546) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-06-21 07:40Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to see a significant recovery in production in H2 2024, while Q1 2025 sales are impacted by declining market demand [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total operating revenue of 29.561 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.268 billion yuan, down 46.75% year-on-year [2] - For Q1 2025, total operating revenue was 4.502 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29.17%, with a net profit of 255 million yuan, down 56.29% year-on-year [2] - The company forecasts EPS for 2025-2027 to be 0.94, 1.01, and 1.15 yuan respectively, with a target price of 10.33 yuan based on a PE ratio of 11x for 2025 [2] Group 2: Production and Sales - In 2024, the company's raw coal production was 32.9789 million tons, down 15.40%, while self-produced coal sales were 26.7336 million tons, down 23.31% [2] - Trade coal sales increased by 7.6% to 18.99 million tons [2] - In Q1 2025, raw coal production reached 9.086 million tons, up 20.92% year-on-year, while self-produced coal sales were 4.416 million tons, down 19.15% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Cost Management - The company has optimized cost control, with Q1 2025 costs significantly reduced both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [3] - The average selling price of self-produced coal in 2024 was 645.85 yuan/ton, down 8.5% year-on-year, while the average selling price for trade coal was 614.49 yuan/ton, down 7.2% [3] - The company expects to maintain a cost reduction of 30 yuan/ton in 2025 to offset the impact of declining coal prices [3] Group 4: Coal Trading Business - In 2024, the company achieved coal trading revenue of 11.673 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.59%, with a trading volume of 18.9963 million tons, up 7.66% [4] - For Q1 2025, coal trading revenue was 1.672 billion yuan, down 35.28% year-on-year, with sales volume of 3.2128 million tons, down 16.18% [4] - The company has successfully developed new coal sourcing channels from Malaysia and Indonesia, optimizing the structure of imported coal sources [4]