Is Cathie Wood Actually Right About Tesla Stock?

Group 1 - Ark Invest has set a price target of $2,600 for Tesla by 2029, based on a Monte Carlo simulation that considers various market scenarios [2][5] - The simulation indicates a 25% chance that Tesla's stock price could be $2,000 or less, and a 25% chance it could exceed $3,100, with the expected value being $2,600 [2][4] - Tesla's current stock price is significantly below previous bearish forecasts, indicating the challenges in predicting long-term stock values for speculative growth stocks like Tesla [3][4] Group 2 - The success of Tesla's stock price is highly dependent on the success of its robotaxi service, which is projected to account for 88% of its enterprise value by 2029 [7][10] - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) system and robotaxi concept remain unproven, with regulatory and safety challenges yet to be addressed [9][11] - If Tesla successfully develops its robotaxi technology, there could be significant upside potential for the stock, as the company has the necessary resources and market position to succeed [13]