国金证券：预计后续煤价弱稳运行 关注迎峰度夏期补库带来的阶段性煤价回涨

Group 1 - The domestic coal production in China is expected to remain high in May, with domestic coal prices experiencing significant adjustments, leading to a loss of cost competitiveness for some domestic and foreign supply [1] - The narrowing price advantage of imported coal has prompted some end-users to shift towards purchasing domestic coal, providing certain support to port coal prices [1] - The market has been in a "high supply + high inventory + weak demand" situation for nearly six months, indicating a sensitivity to positive factors [1] Group 2 - There is a potential for a slight increase in coal prices towards the end of May and early June, driven by traders speculating on power plants' demand for replenishing stocks during the summer peak [1] - Despite the potential price increase, the overall inventory levels remain high compared to the previous year, suggesting that any price rise will be limited and short-lived [1]