商界大佬预言验证？2025年，楼市可能会出现这5个变化？

Group 1 - The Chinese real estate market is experiencing an unprecedented downturn, with average national housing prices down by 30% from historical highs, leading to significant financial losses for high-position buyers [1] - Major real estate companies such as Evergrande, Country Garden, and Sunac are facing severe liquidity issues, resulting in unfinished projects and frequent debt defaults, which have severely impacted market confidence [1] - The market is entering a long-term adjustment period, as indicated by historical trends in real estate sectors globally [1] Group 2 - By 2025, significant changes are expected in the real estate market, driven by unprecedented stimulus policies, including potential full cancellation of purchase restrictions, even in core areas of first-tier cities [3] - Mortgage rates are anticipated to decrease further, possibly reaching 3% or lower, providing some relief for first-time homebuyers [3] Group 3 - Housing prices in first-tier cities are expected to continue their accelerated decline, having already dropped from nearly 100,000 yuan per square meter to 65,000 yuan per square meter, a decrease of over 30% [4] - Despite this decline, the price-to-income ratio remains high at 40 times, indicating persistent market bubbles [4] Group 4 - The pre-sale system is likely to be phased out due to the loss of consumer confidence stemming from liquidity crises and unfinished projects, with the government indicating a shift towards increasing the proportion of existing home sales [5] Group 5 - The construction of affordable housing is set to accelerate, with plans to build 6 million units over the next five years, aimed at meeting the needs of low-income groups and exerting downward pressure on market prices [7] Group 6 - A new round of urban village renovations is set to commence, expanding the scope to 300 cities, focusing on the demolition of unsafe buildings, which will have complex implications for the real estate market [10]