被特朗普打完还不让还手，伊朗将如何抉择？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the escalating conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran, particularly focusing on the implications of military actions and potential retaliations [1][2][3][4][5][6] - The US has conducted a strike on Iran's key nuclear facilities, with officials indicating a desire to de-escalate the situation, while Iran vows to retaliate against US interests [1][2] - Israel's military objectives extend beyond merely curbing Iran's uranium enrichment, aiming to dismantle Iran's ballistic missile program and potentially instigate regime change [1][5][6] Group 2 - Iran's officials downplay the impact of US strikes, claiming that critical equipment was relocated prior to the attack, which may provide them with strategic space to formulate a response [2][3] - Analysts suggest that Iran's military options are limited and could lead to disastrous outcomes if they choose to escalate the conflict against US or Israeli targets [2][3] - The potential for Iran to retaliate against US assets or allies could provoke a significant military response from the US, prolonging the conflict and increasing the risk of regime collapse [2][3][4] Group 3 - The possibility of Iran attacking key Western targets in Iraq, Lebanon, or Syria could draw the US into a broader regional war, especially if strategic locations like the Strait of Hormuz are threatened [3][4] - Iran may adopt a strategy of limited retaliation focused on Israel, maintaining a cycle of conflict without achieving a decisive outcome [3][5] - Despite ongoing Iranian resistance, Israel's military superiority may hinder Iran's ability to sustain prolonged conflict, as Israel continues to target Iran's missile capabilities [5][6] Group 4 - If Iran's regime is weakened but not overthrown, it may secretly accelerate its nuclear weapons development, similar to past instances in Iraq and Syria [4][5] - The dynamics of Iran's response are influenced by the capabilities and willingness of its allies, which appear to be constrained at present [4][5] - Israeli military actions have reportedly destroyed a significant portion of Iran's missile launchers, indicating a strategic advantage for Israel in the ongoing conflict [5][6]