Group 1 - The core argument of the article highlights the unexpected resilience of the Russian economy, which has grown by 20% despite predictions of imminent collapse following the Ukraine conflict [3][4] - The Russian economy is heavily reliant on energy exports, with one-quarter of its workforce dedicated to oil and gas, leading to a paradox of wealth from resources but low per capita income [4][5] - The article discusses the "resource curse," where reliance on oil and gas has hindered industrial diversification, making the economy vulnerable to price fluctuations [4][5] Group 2 - The current economic model in Russia is described as a "war economy," with significant government spending on military and defense, leading to a GDP growth that is unsustainable and reliant on borrowed funds [5][6] - There is a stark contrast between official economic data and the lived experiences of citizens, raising questions about the accuracy of reported inflation and GDP growth figures [6][8] - The article warns of three critical risks facing the Russian economy: depletion of natural resources, potential cessation of military orders, and looming fiscal insolvency as state reserves dwindle [6][8]
俄罗斯经济崩盘,势不可挡了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-23 06:40