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国联民生证券:关注交运内需弹性与高股息两条主线 关注招商港口(001872.SZ)等
CMPortCMPort(SZ:001872) 智通财经网·2025-06-23 06:51

Logistics Industry - The logistics sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 6.2% as of June 13, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 by 8.0% [1] - The shift from external to internal demand is contributing to excess returns in the logistics industry, with direct-operated express companies like SF Express and JD Logistics performing better than franchise-based counterparts [1] - The competitive intensity in the logistics sector is expected to be controllable due to effective regulatory constraints, despite a stronger demand for market share among leading companies [1] Shipping Industry - The shipping sector has experienced a year-to-date increase of 0.8%, with an excess return of 2.6% compared to the CSI 300 as of June 13, 2025 [2] - The easing of tariffs between China and the U.S. is expected to maintain strong export levels until mid-July, coupled with temporary capacity tightness, which may lead to further price increases in the shipping sector [2] - In the medium term, the supply of oil tankers, particularly VLCCs, remains tight, and a recovery in demand may lead to rising freight rates [2] Infrastructure Sector - As of June 13, 2025, the highway, railway, and port sectors have underperformed the market by 0.74, 4.23, and 0.73 percentage points, respectively [3] - The growth in passenger traffic on highways is driven by an increase in vehicle ownership and sustained short-distance travel demand, with the summer peak season expected to boost high-speed rail travel [3] - The recovery in domestic demand is anticipated to positively impact the freight transport sector, with the easing of U.S. tariff policies likely to sustain high levels of export trade in the short term [3]