Societe Generale(US:SCGLY) Huan Qiu Wang·2025-06-23 08:00Group 1 - The US Treasury market has experienced significant volatility this year, driven by concerns over rising government deficits, tariff disputes, and changes in foreign buyer demand [1][3] - Investor panic has been primarily fueled by worries regarding Trump's tariff policies and the expanding US budget deficit, which may lead to higher inflation and sustained high interest rates [3][4] - The French bank Société Générale anticipates that the current turmoil in the US Treasury market is unlikely to end in the short term, with major developments expected to impact the market [1][4] Group 2 - Key developments to watch in the US Treasury market include a surge in new debt issuance as the government increases borrowing and the Federal Reserve continues quantitative tightening [4] - The demand for stablecoins, supported by short-term US Treasury bills, may boost demand for government bonds, with stablecoin issuers' asset management expected to grow significantly [4]