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SCGLY vs. NABZY: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-07-07 16:41
Investors with an interest in Banks - Foreign stocks have likely encountered both Societe Generale Group (SCGLY) and National Australia Bank Ltd. (NABZY) . But which of these two stocks is more attractive to value investors? We'll need to take a closer look to find out. Everyone has their own methods for finding great value opportunities, but our model includes pairing an impressive grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system with a strong Zacks Rank. The proven Zacks Rank emphasizes companies wi ...
Societe Generale: Termination of the liquidity contract and half-year statement
Globenewswire· 2025-07-02 16:23
TERMINATION OF THE LIQUIDITY CONTRACT AND HALF-YEAR STATEMENT Regulated Information Paris, 2 July 2025 Press release related to the termination of the liquidity contract and the half-year statement, which specifies the number of executed share transactions and the volume exchanged under the liquidity contract of Societe Generale. As the daily liquidity of Societe Generale shares has been satisfactory for several years, Societe Generale decided, as of 1 July 2025, to terminate the liquidity contract entrust ...
金价掉到2500美元还是飙到4000美元 该听谁的?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-27 23:11
Core Viewpoint - There is a significant divergence among investment banks regarding the future price of gold, with some predicting a decline while others foresee substantial increases [2][6]. Group 1: Bullish Outlook - The bullish camp argues that ongoing central bank purchases and geopolitical uncertainties will support gold prices. Société Générale believes gold is a strong investment and a hedge against geopolitical risks, maintaining a target price of around $3450 per ounce for the summer [3][4]. - Goldman Sachs reaffirms its bullish stance, projecting gold prices to reach $3700 per ounce by the end of 2025 and $4000 per ounce by mid-2026 due to structural demand from central banks [4]. - UBS forecasts gold prices to be approximately $3500 per ounce by the end of this year, while Bank of America suggests a strong possibility of prices hitting $4000 in the second half of the year [5]. Group 2: Bearish Outlook - The bearish camp, led by Citigroup, predicts that gold's strong performance will not continue, forecasting a drop to below $3000 per ounce by the end of this year and between $2500 to $2700 by mid-2026, representing a decline of 20-25% from current levels [6]. - Analysts at Citigroup attribute this potential decline to weakening investment demand, improving global economic growth prospects, and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which may reduce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [6]. - Despite the usual positive correlation between interest rate cuts and gold prices, there are concerns that the market may have already priced in some of these benefits, leading to a potential correction [6]. Group 3: Changing Asset Allocation - A recent survey by the World Gold Council indicates that over 90% of central banks expect to continue increasing their gold reserves in the next 12 months, reflecting a shift in asset allocation strategies amid geopolitical tensions [8]. - The OMFIF survey reveals that 32% of central banks plan to increase their gold exposure in the next 12 to 24 months, the highest level in five years, suggesting a growing optimism about gold's future [8]. - The report indicates a trend towards diversifying away from the US dollar, with gold, the euro, and the renminbi becoming increasingly important in central bank reserves, signaling a potential end to the dollar's dominance [8].
法兴银行:美债市场动荡未止,三大事态发展需留意
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-06-23 08:00
法兴预计美债市场接下来需着重留意三大事态发展: 【环球网财经综合报道】今年以来,美债市场犹如坐上"过山车",行情剧烈动荡。对政府赤字攀升、关税争端以 及外国买家需求变化的担忧相互交织,令市场阴霾重重。法国兴业银行策略师认为,这种动荡局面短期内难终 结,未来还有重大事态发展冲击市场。 今年美债投资者多次恐慌,主要源于对特朗普关税政策和美国预算赤字不断扩大的担忧。关税可能推高通胀,使 利率居高不下;美国国家债务攀升至不可持续水平,这两种情况都让投资者不愿持有美债,除非政府提供更具吸 引力的收益率。特朗普政府执政前六个月已动摇债券市场,对收益率曲线长端构成压力,投资者或继续远离长期 债券和美元资产,但过程并不简单。 一是新债发行洪流。随着美国政府增加借贷规模及美联储继续量化紧缩,债券市场将面临新一波国债发行浪潮。 美国国会预计8月提高联邦债务上限,一旦提高,美国财政部将发行更多名义息票债券重建TGA账户,且可能在 明年2月前加快发行速度。若债务上限未提高,TGA账户可能在9月或10月"完全耗尽"。同时,投资者对美债态度 谨慎,最近20年期政府债券拍卖需求弱于预期,外国投资者参与度创五年新低。 二是货币政策影响。法兴 ...
“各种打脸”的上半年,“全天候”崛起!
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-21 03:07
2025年上半年,华尔街奖励了战略上的冷漠,惩罚了过度自信。分散资产风险的策略正以近乎历史性的 幅度跑赢大盘,这与近年来青睐大型科技股等股票的集中押注截然不同。 6月20日,据报道,法国兴业银行追踪股票、政府债券、企业信贷、大宗商品和现金的多资产投资组 合,正迎来自2008年以来最强劲的上半年表现。 面对充满不确定性的市场,多元化投资策略展现出强劲韧性。海外发达市场股票、黄金甚至比特币今年 均跑赢标普500指数,投资者因寻求熟悉领域之外的机会而获得回报。 报道指出,不确定性环境下的投资策略转向也正在重新定义华尔街的投资逻辑,从集中押注转向全天候 投资组合建设。 多资产策略表现强劲 法国兴业银行的多资产投资组合正迎来自2008年以来最强劲的上半年表现。即使是在疫情时代被视为过 时的经典60/40股债配置策略,也相对具有弹性。 与此同时,被称为风险平价的流行多资产策略上涨了约6%。Astoria Portfolio Advisors首席执行官John Davi表示: "对于每一个显示经济强劲的指标,我都能给你一个显示经济放缓的指标。不确定性确实更 高了。" 他的公司多资产ETF以黄金为最大持仓,今年涨幅超过10% ...
金十整理:机构前瞻英国央行利率决议——6月不降息已无悬念,但8月必降?
news flash· 2025-06-19 05:48
6. 高盛集团:英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变,薪资上涨压力减轻加上服务类通胀有望回落将促使 其在8月降息,并在下半年连续降息。 7. 三菱日联:英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变,外部形势变化可能使其选择继续保留选择权,国内 数据则可能使其在传递信息方面发生微妙变化。 8. 法兴银行:英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变,然后将在今年8月和11月进行两次25个基点的降 息,随后在2026年进行三次25个基点的降息。 金十整理:机构前瞻英国央行利率决议——6月不降息已无悬念,但8月必降? 1. 凯投宏观:英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变,随后有可能超预期降息,明年利率有望降至3.5%。 2. 瑞银集团:英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变,然后可能会在8月和11月降息,到今年年底将利率 降至3.75%。 3. 晨星公司:英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变,因关税紧张局势缓解及薪资增长前景不确定;下一 次降息预计在8月。 4. 美国银行:英国央行料将维持利率在4.25%不变,然后将在今年下半年加快降息步伐,在8月、9月和 11月降息,将利率降至3.5%。 5. Investec:英国央行料将维持利 ...
法兴银行:日本央行将按兵不动 并将从明年4月开始放慢量化紧缩步伐
news flash· 2025-06-17 01:26
金十数据6月17日讯,法兴银行预计日本央行6月可能会保持利率不变,且在近期超长期日本国债遭遇抛 售之际,日本央行将从明年4月开始放慢量化紧缩的步伐。日本的核心CPl可能在非新鲜食品和服务价格 上涨的推动下加速增长。 法兴银行:日本央行将按兵不动 并将从明年4月开始放慢量化紧缩步伐 ...
欧洲银行“画风突变” 摒弃“军火钱”顾虑转投国防热潮
智通财经网· 2025-06-12 12:41
据欧洲多家大型银行高管透露,银行内部正修改指导方针与政策,确保能与长期被视为声誉风险的行业 合作。它们还专门组建团队、招聘人员以服务武器制造商,并与政府协作推动公共政策对接。 荷兰国际集团(ING Groep NV)首席执行官史蒂文·范·里耶克维克(Steven van Rijswijk)在采访中称:"我们 不仅重新审视了政策,更转变了思维模式——从'不,除非……'变为'可以,除非……'。" 智通财经APP获悉,曾几何时,欧洲各大银行对与武器制造商合作颇为抵触;而短短数月间,这类业务 关系已摇身变为荣誉象征。包括法国巴黎银行(BNP Paribas SA)、德国商业银行(Commerzbank AG)、德 意志银行(Deutsche Bank AG)及法国兴业银行(Societe Generale SA)在内的金融机构,正不遗余力地彰显 其与国防企业的合作关联。此前银行热衷强调自身的环保业绩,如今公开话术已转向"助力欧洲重新武 装"的角色定位。 德意志银行企业与投资银行部门负责人法布里齐奥·坎佩利(Fabrizio Campelli)在周三的一份声明中表 示,该行"很荣幸"与欧洲投资银行合作,为国防相关企业和 ...
金十整理:机构预期今晚20:30公布的美国5月未季调CPI年率(前值:+2.3%)
news flash· 2025-06-11 08:13
高盛集团:+2.5%;汇丰控股:+2.5%;渣打银行:+2.5%;蒙特利尔银行:+2.5%;国民西敏寺银行: +2.5%; 金十整理:机构预期今晚20:30公布的美国5月未季调CPI年率(前值:+2.3%) 澳新银行:+2.3%;法巴银行:+2.4%;美国银行:+2.4%;花旗集团:+2.4%;瑞银集团:+2.4%; 摩根大通:+2.4%;野村证券:+2.4%;道明证券:+2.4%;高频经济:+2.4%;巴克莱银行:+2.4%; 富国银行:+2.4%;荷兰银行:+2.4%;瑞杰金融:+2.4%;劳埃德银行:+2.5%;帝国商业银行: +2.5%; 荷兰国际:+2.5%;丰业银行:+2.5%;法兴银行:+2.5%;摩根士丹利:+2.5%;加拿大皇家银行: +2.5%; 凯投宏观:+2.5%;日本三井住友银行:+2.5%;星展银行:+2.6%;贝伦贝格银行:+2.7%。[路透预 期:+2.5%] ...
欧洲银行业为裁减高级员工花费了11亿欧元
news flash· 2025-06-11 04:16
金十数据6月11日讯,自2018年以来,欧洲银行业已斥资逾11亿欧元裁减高级员工,这透露出银行业近 年来经历的重组的程度。对监管机构填写的文件和公司账目的分析,德意志银行、汇丰银行和桑坦德银 行在2018年至2024年期间共向其最高级员工支付了近8.5亿欧元的遣散费。同期,法兴银行、法国巴黎 银行、巴克莱银行和瑞银共向高级员工支付了2.75亿欧元的遣散费。这些支出突显出,近年来,德意志 银行和汇丰银行等几家大型欧洲银行在多大程度上实施了重大重组计划,而其它银行则试图重塑投行业 务,以适应不断变化的市场需求。 (英国金融时报) 欧洲银行业为裁减高级员工花费了11亿欧元 ...