ATFX：本周重点关注鲍威尔国会证词，5月美国PCE预期变化不大

Core Economic Data - The U.S. Commerce Department will release the May Core PCE Price Index year-on-year at 20:30 on Friday, with a previous value of 2.5% and an expected value of 2.6%, indicating a small expected decline [1] - The Core PCE year-on-year data is a crucial reference for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy adjustments, and a significant drop in PCE data could lead to a resumption of interest rate cuts [1] - The May Core CPI year-on-year has been published at 2.8%, remaining unchanged from the previous value, indicating stability over three consecutive months [1] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will deliver semiannual monetary policy reports to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday, focusing on future interest rate changes, inflation trends, and the labor market [4] - If Powell's statements align with previous remarks, the impact on the dollar index may be minimal; however, unexpected comments could lead to significant volatility [4] - Powell's previous comments indicated that the Fed is patient regarding interest rate cuts, suggesting that such actions are not imminent [4] Oil Market Influence - The fluctuations in crude oil prices are expected to correlate with changes in PCE data; in May, U.S. crude oil prices increased by 4.43%, with a price range between $55 and $64, indicating limited volatility [1] ECB and Eurozone Outlook - ECB President Christine Lagarde will speak in Munich on Friday, likely not addressing interest rate paths or inflation due to the event's limited economic relevance [5] - Lagarde's previous remarks indicated a favorable position for the euro, and her upcoming speeches are expected to maintain an optimistic tone, potentially benefiting the euro [5]